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Philip
McAvoy

Philip McAvoy is the founder of the Beyond Buy & Hold newsletter and a successful hedge fund manager (the Norwood Equity fund).  A dissatisfaction with the status quo and an unwillingness to accept that “Buy and Hold” is the best that the investment industry has to offer led to the creation of the proprietary strategy and the algorithms used in the Beyond Buy & Hold investing system. 

You don’t need to have a huge salary to grow your retirement savings to millions of dollars. You don’t need to save unrealistic portions of your paycheck to achieve this either. The only things you need to do are (a) start as soon as possible and (b) invest your savings the right way.


It’s pretty sad that an amazing investment vehicle like a 401(k) account is looked upon with such dread by so many people. People are fearful and stressed when it comes to their 401(k) accounts. It doesn’t have to be this way and it shouldn't be this way.


The industry has trained everyone to be very cautious with their retirement accounts. Stock market collapses, which happen about every six years, create fear in all investors. People in general have a negative mindset about investing. Negative and pessimistic mindsets rarely produce optimal results.


My problem is that nobody talks about the amazing opportunity that all 401(k) investors have. I believe that if people saw the opportunity as well as the risk, their attitudes towards the 401(k) would change, and they’d make better investment decisions as a result.


Everyone should be able to retire with at least $1 million in their retirement account.  Just about everyone should be able to retire with a multi-million-dollar retirement account. 


Another reason that people are ambivalent about their 401K and IRA accounts is that the investment industry offers lousy solutions.  Their main solution is the asset allocation strategy which supports the Target Date fund solutions.  It is a very mediocre investing strategy.


Most of you are following some version of a Target Date fund approach with your retirement investments.  As a result, you will only end up earning an average of 6.5% per year on your investments in your retirement accounts.  And despite what the industry tells you, you will still get crushed in stock market downturns.


You can and should be earning almost double these returns AND you can be protected from stock market crashes. 


Let’s look at an example of someone who started at age 35 with their 401K investing.  

Sally is a 35-year-old worker and has grown her salary to $75,000 per year. She realizes that she needs to start a 401(k) account.  She doesn’t feel the need to catch up, so she only contributes the average of 6% of her salary per year and she also gets the average match of 3% per year.

 

If she follows the best advice from the investment industry and puts her money in a Target Date fund, she will only end up with a retirement fund of $722,000 at age 65.  If she uses our Beyond Buy & Hold system, she will end up with a retirement fund of almost $2 million at age 65.




 

With only $722,000 at age 65 from her Target Date fund, Sally would be looking at a difficult retirement. She might not even be able to retire at age 65. She would only be able to withdraw about $48,000 per year from her 401(k) in retirement.  This is why 401K investors are so anxious about their retirement accounts. 

 

But following our better investing approach, she would have a very comfortable retirement with an annual income of $219,000 per year.  And even better, her investments would also be protected against stock market collapses. 

 

Do you see why I’m so excited about 401(k)s and IRAs for ordinary investors? I want all working people to have the retirement of their dreams. Most people don’t even know this is possible. You can get the same or better results than the big players in the stock market if you improve your investment results.


Stay Disciplined My Friends,


Phil

 

Disclaimers The Beyond Buy & Hold newsletter is published and provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. We are not advising, and will not advise you personally, concerning the nature, potential, value, or suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. Beyond Buy & Hold recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision.


Investing in the financial products discussed in the Newsletter involves risk. Trading in such securities can result in immediate and substantial losses of the capital invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Actual results will vary widely given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, and market dynamics.


If you’re in your 20s, 30s or 40s, you should consider a Roth IRA. If you’re self-employed, you may only have an IRA as a retirement savings option available to you. And a Roth IRA can be a great option.

 

An IRA is an individual retirement account that is available to most people even if you already have a 401(k). The main advantage of a 401(k) is the company match feature, but the other benefits apply to IRAs as well:

  • Pre-tax contributions that save on federal and state income taxes, and

  • Tax-deferred growth over your entire working life.

 

A Roth IRA is different from a traditional IRA because contributions are made after taxes have been paid. But since the contributions are made “after-tax,” you don’t have to pay taxes on that money when you withdraw the funds in retirement. Not paying taxes on IRA withdrawals is a huge benefit.  Imagine not having to pay taxes on your income.  You can have that with a Roth IRA.

 

Typically, people in their 20s have a lower income than when they’re in their 40s. This means that the younger person would be in a lower tax bracket, let’s say 20% of their gross income. If this twentysomething contributes $800 to a Roth IRA, they must first pay $200 in taxes on the $1,000 in income it took to make this $800 contribution. They would therefore start $200 behind another twentysomething who made a $1,000 contribution to a traditional IRA. How can that be good?

 

Well, the advantage starts to accrue after the contribution is made and over the rest of the person’s working life (potentially 40 years). Forty years later, with average investment returns of 7.5% per year, that $800 would be worth $14,400.

 

In a traditional IRA, all of that $14,400 would be taxable once it’s withdrawn. With a Roth IRA, none of that $14,400 would be taxable. At a tax rate which at that point could be 25% or 30%, you would potentially pay $4,000 in taxes on that money in retirement, vs. the $200 in taxes you would have paid your twenties.

 

If your investment returns are higher, as they would be with a system like ours, the advantage is even greater. The $800 would grow to $95,500 with our system, not $14,400! In that case, the tax savings (due to the higher tax bracket later in life) could be over $25,000. The tax advantages are much less significant for people in their 40s or 50s because the Roth IRA contributions have less time to grow and because people in their 40s and 50s are typically in a higher tax bracket.

 

Anyone under the age of 45 should investigate a Roth IRA and see if it makes sense for you. It’s also possible to contribute to both a 401(k) and a Roth IRA. You can contribute as much as you need to in order to max out the company match in a 401(k), and also contribute to a Roth IRA as long as you stay within the annual IRS limits on contributions.

 

There are even situations and strategies that can work for Roth IRA conversions for people over 50.  These Roth conversion are fairly compled and you should consult a financial advisor to see if it makes sense for you.

 

Everyone’s tax situation is different, but you should see if a Roth IRA is right for you or you children.  Your Social Security income is taxable when you retire.  Your 401(k) and traditional IRA withdrawals are taxable when you retire.  But withdrawals from a Roth IRA are not subject to taxes.  Not having to pay taxes on retirement income makes it much easier and much simpler to manage your finances at this stage of your life.


Stay Disciplined My Friends,


Phil

 

Disclaimers The Beyond Buy & Hold newsletter is published and provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. We are not advising, and will not advise you personally, concerning the nature, potential, value, or suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. Beyond Buy & Hold recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision.


Investing in the financial products discussed in the Newsletter involves risk. Trading in such securities can result in immediate and substantial losses of the capital invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Actual results will vary widely given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, and market dynamics.


In his recent blog post, Ben Carlson of Reinholtz Wealth Management, said that our current stock market situation may turn out to be similar to the Roaring 20s – the 1920s that is.  The graph below shows the Dow Jones Industrial average for the period between 1920 and 1929 just before the stock market crash of 1929. 

 

In 1920, we had just emerged from a World War and the Spanish Flu pandemic.  The decade began with a Depression in 1920 and 1921 and then the stock market rose by 500%.




 

Here is what Carlson has to say about the 2020s.

“Net worth is at all-time highs.

The stock market is at all-time highs.

Housing prices are at all-time highs.

Economic activity is at all-time highs.

The unemployment rate has been below 4% for more than two years.

You can even earn 5% on your cash!

People are spending money like crazy.

Retail sales have seen a massive jump per-pandemic levels:

 

Inflation partially explains this but even on a real basis these numbers are so much higher than the pre-pandemic trend.

Even after accounting for inflation, people are spending way more money on food these days:

Yes we love to complain about prices at the grocery store but that hasn’t slowed people down from spending.

In fact, people are eating out more than ever these days:

 

That period of Covid restrictions around eating out obviously sparked something in people that made everybody want to go out to eat more than ever before.

It’s not just eating out. People are traveling like crazy now too.

Plus, we’re in the midst of an AI boom.

In a keynote address last week, NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang listed all of the companies that now rely on the chipmaker:

 

NVIDIA’s market cap has gained nearly $1.7 trillion since the start of 2022.

Call it a bubble if you want but the AI revolution is coming regardless of current tech stock valuations. The future will include robots and AI-based personal assistants and tutors for your children and who knows what else.

Consumer sentiment doesn’t exactly line up with a roaring 20s mentality because people hate inflation and higher interest rates.1 But you have to watch what people do, not what they say.

People are spending money on food, travel, clothes and technology.

They’re investing in their 401k, IRA or brokerage account. They’re gambling in their Draft Kings or Fan Duel account. They’re day trading options in their Robinhood account.

People are acting like it’s the Roaring 20s, whether they agree with that sentiment or not.

It’s also worth pointing out that the orgy that was the Roaring 20s was followed by the Great Depression.

Booms are inevitably followed by busts. So it goes.

 

The current post-pandemic period also unleashed an entrepreneurial appetite for risk in this country the likes of which we’ve never seen before. Business formations are at an all time high.

 

Things could always be better.

But it’s crazy to be where we are considering where we were just four short years ago during the outbreak of Covid.

As far as I’m concerned, the Roaring 2020s are here.

Enjoy it while it lasts.”


None of us knows what the short-term future holds. Many people are worried about a big stock market correction after the huge growth in stock prices since October of 2022.


If this the beginning of a bubble, you want to stay invested because the gains are always highest at the end of a bull market run.


Our customers that follow our Market Signals recommendations can safely stay aggressively invested because the system will automatically get them out of stocks when things head south.


Stay Disciplined My Friends,


Phil

 

Disclaimers The Beyond Buy & Hold newsletter is published and provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. We are not advising, and will not advise you personally, concerning the nature, potential, value, or suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. Beyond Buy & Hold recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision.


Investing in the financial products discussed in the Newsletter involves risk. Trading in such securities can result in immediate and substantial losses of the capital invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Actual results will vary widely given a variety of factors such as experience, skill, risk mitigation practices, and market dynamics.


THE ABSOLUTE ESSENTIAL INVESTMENT GUIDE FOR ALL 401(k) HOLDERS 

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  • Learn from Phil McAvoy, the noted hedge fund manager, how to improve your investment strategy and results. 

  • See how his system helps you creates a multi-million-dollar 401(k).

  • Discover how his system avoids painful bear market losses and outperforms other investment approaches and eliminates the fear from investing.

  • Learn how to become a more confident and successful investor.

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SUBSCRIBE TO PHIL’S POWERHOUSE MARKET SIGNALS NEWSLETTER AND GET:

  • Risk alerts to shield you from bear market collapses

  • Weekly email updates with buy/hold/sell recommendations

  • Exclusive Market Signals system to assure your optimizing returns in all market conditions

  • A proven strategy that can nearly double what is achievable through other strategies 

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